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Sederhananya, dengan asuransi seorang pemain akan mengasuransikan diri mereka sendiri agar tidak kehilangan taruhan mereka ke dealer poker. Sepopuler itu tidak terlalu dipahami dengan baik. Faktanya, sangat disalahpahami bahwa banyak pemain poker memainkan side bet yang biasa ditawarkan ini tanpa menyadari bahwa mereka bermain di tangan house sehingga keuntungan house edge 0,5% menjadi 8%.


Asuransi ditawarkan kepada semua pemain di meja poker ketika kartu atas dealer adalah kartu as. Jadi apa kemungkinan tepatnya bahwa kartu hole dealer adalah kartu bernilai 10? Itu sedikit di atas 31%, jadi dealer memiliki sekitar 1 dari 3 peluang mendapatkan game https://199.192.26.4 dengan kartu as yang sudah ada.

Tahan pikiran itu dan mari kita kembali sebentar lagi. Dengan asumsi pemain telah meletakkan chip £ 100 dari tumpukan chip £ 500, meninggalkan dia dengan £ 100 di atas meja dan £ 400 di tumpukan. Kartu atas dealer adalah kartu as dan pemain akan ditawari asuransi, yaitu 50% dari taruhannya. Ingatlah bahwa ketika dia menerima tawaran ini, pemain sekarang menjalankan 2 taruhan; dia memiliki £ 100 di tangannya bertaruh bahwa dealer TIDAK akan memiliki poker dan £ 50 lainnya untuk taruhan asuransi bahwa dealer AKAN memiliki poker. Kembali ke tumpukan chip pemain, dia sekarang memiliki £ 350 setelah memasang taruhan asuransi

31% dari waktu dealer akan mendapatkan poker dan taruhan akan dibayarkan sebagai berikut. Pemain kehilangan taruhan £ 100 dengan tangannya sendiri tetapi dibayar 2 banding 1 untuk secara akurat memprediksi bahwa dealer akan mendapatkan poker. Apa yang pada dasarnya pemain lakukan adalah bertaruh bahwa dealer tidak akan mendapatkan permainan yang bagus dan dia akan mendapatkan permainan di https://199.192.31.67 pada saat yang sama hanya agar dia dijamin menang. Dia kemudian dibayar sesuai untuk taruhannya sebesar £ 50, yang pada 2: 1 memberinya keuntungan sebesar £ 100 pada taruhan asuransi. Dealer menyelipkan chip £ 50 dan menambahkan chip £ 100 lainnya membawa tumpukan chip pemain kembali ke £ 500 di mana dia memulai.

Jadi apa yang terjadi di hampir 69% kasus ketika dealer tidak mendapatkan poker?

Dalam hal ini, pemain kehilangan side betnya sebesar £ 50 dan hand tersebut dimainkan di mana ia kehilangan £ 100 lagi, dengan tumpukan chipnya turun menjadi £ 350. Atau dia memenangkan dua kali lipat taruhan awalnya sebesar £ 100, dealer memasukkan lebih dari £ 200 dalam bentuk chip, £ 100 dari taruhan asli dan tambahan £ 100, meninggalkan tumpukan chipnya pada £ 450.

Mengenai asuransi, begitulah, tetapi bagaimana ini merujuk pada taruhan uang genap? Bahkan taruhan uang tidak hanya ada di https://199.192.18.229 , tetapi juga dapat ditemukan di meja roulette. Bahkan uang biasanya merupakan efek kumulatif dari lebih dari satu taruhan. Misalnya bertaruh £ 50 pada merah dan £ 50 pada hitam mengambil £ 100 dari tumpukan chip Anda, satu taruhan akan kalah dan yang lain akan digandakan, pada dasarnya menempatkan tepat £ 100 kembali ke tumpukan Anda. Anda tidak kehilangan apa-apa, Anda tidak mendapatkan apa-apa.

Seperti yang terlihat pada contoh di atas, menempatkan taruhan sisi asuransi, 31% dari waktu pemain tidak akan menang atau kalah apa pun, jadi hasilnya persis sama dengan taruhan uang genap.

Bahkan uang dalam poker ditawarkan kepada pemain yang sudah memiliki poker saat dealer menunjukkan kartu as. Seperti yang telah dibahas, kemungkinan itu terjadi hanya sedikit kurang dari 69%. Secara teori, pemain telah menang kecuali jika dealer mendapatkan poker dalam hal ini pemain tidak menang atau kalah dan hanya mendapatkan kembali taruhannya.

Saya suka menggunakan analogi tumpukan chip karena jauh lebih mudah untuk dihubungkan daripada membuang angka, persentase, dan probabilitas di udara. Istilah uang riil. Jadi sekali lagi pemain memasang taruhan £ 100, meninggalkan dia dengan £ 400 di tumpukan chipnya dan ditangani poker. Dealer menunjukkan kartu as dan menawarkan sisa asuransi meja tetapi pemain dengan poker mendapat tawaran bahkan uang. Skenario ini dapat dilakukan dengan salah satu dari tiga cara.

Pemain mengambil uang genap dan mendapatkan taruhan asli £ 100 ditambah lagi £ 100 sehingga tumpukan chipnya mencapai £ 600. Sekarang kita bicara! Atau apakah kita? 31% dari waktu dealer akan membalikkan 10 kartu nilai dan pemain tidak akan menang atau kalah. Tumpukan chip tetap pada £ 500. Namun, 69% dari waktu, dealer tidak akan mendapatkan poker dan pemain mendapatkan pembayaran 3: 2, mengakibatkan dealer menggeser lebih dari £ 250 dalam bentuk chip, pemain asli bertaruh £ 100 ditambah kemenangan £ 150. Dengan tumpukan chip sekarang pada £ 650 dan probabilitas ini hampir menyentuh tanda 70%, ini sepertinya opsi yang lebih baik.

Secara teori, Anda akan mendengar semua ahli poker mengatakannya.

Baik uang maupun taruhan asuransi bukanlah taruhan yang baik. Kedua taruhan mendorong peluang ke dalam keuntungan kasino dan mereka bermain dengan fakta bahwa sebagai manusia kita takut kalah.

Seperti yang telah kami sebutkan di artikel sebelumnya, inti dari strategi poker adalah meminimalkan jumlah uang yang hilang. Asuransi dan bahkan taruhan uang dirancang untuk melakukan hal itu. Penghitungan kartu adalah salah satu cara untuk menggeser peluang cukup untuk mulai menang. Penghitungan kartu juga membantu pemain membuat tebakan tentang kemungkinan dealer menyembunyikan kartu bernilai 10. Inilah mengapa penghitungan kartu sangat membantu; itu memandu pemain untuk mengambil risiko yang diperhitungkan dan mendapat untung besar dengan sedikit tangan.

Sekali lagi moral dari cerita ini adalah menghindari taruhan sampingan meskipun mereka berjanji untuk menyelamatkan tumpukan Anda dalam jangka pendek.
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